STM Sports vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
49.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
STM Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
STM
12%
18%
71%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
STM
5 - 2
LID
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
STM
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 4
STM
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TON
0 - 4
STM
27%
25%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
HAV
6 - 2
GOY
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
HAV
3 - 0
LLA
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +4 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 3
HAV
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CWM
2 - 3
HAV
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
HAV
2 - 3
GOY
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |