League Two Round 18

Stevenage vs Luton Town analysis

Stevenage Luton Town
53 ELO 60
0.8% Tilt -0.2%
2140º General ELO ranking 938º
59º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
30.9%
Stevenage
26.6%
Draw
42.5%
Luton Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
Stevenage
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.5%
Win probability
Luton Town
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stevenage
+17%
+7%
Luton Town

ELO progression

Stevenage
Luton Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stevenage
Stevenage
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2015
YEO
Yeovil Town
2 - 2
Stevenage
STE
36%
27%
38%
53 49 4 0
07 Nov. 2015
STE
Stevenage
3 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
17%
21%
62%
51 65 14 +2
31 Oct. 2015
STE
Stevenage
1 - 5
Oxford United
OXF
28%
28%
45%
52 62 10 -1
24 Oct. 2015
NOR
Northampton
2 - 1
Stevenage
STE
58%
23%
20%
52 57 5 0
20 Oct. 2015
OPA
Portsmouth
1 - 1
Stevenage
STE
57%
23%
20%
52 57 5 0

Matches

Luton Town
Luton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2015
LUT
Luton Town
2 - 0
Barnet
BAR
54%
24%
22%
60 57 3 0
07 Nov. 2015
CRA
Crawley Town
1 - 2
Luton Town
LUT
33%
26%
41%
59 53 6 +1
01 Nov. 2015
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
0 - 2
Luton Town
LUT
29%
27%
45%
59 51 8 0
24 Oct. 2015
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
47%
27%
27%
59 61 2 0
20 Oct. 2015
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 1
Leyton Orient
LEY
46%
25%
29%
59 59 0 0