Second Division Round 2

Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath analysis

Stenhousemuir Arbroath
52 ELO 55
4.7% Tilt 6.8%
3017º General ELO ranking 2509º
34º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
35.9%
Stenhousemuir
25.3%
Draw
38.8%
Arbroath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
Stenhousemuir
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.8%
Win probability
Arbroath
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stenhousemuir
-15%
+13%
Arbroath

ELO progression

Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2011
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
64%
20%
16%
51 57 6 0
30 Jul. 2011
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
53%
22%
25%
50 52 2 +1
23 Jul. 2011
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
58%
23%
19%
50 63 13 0
07 May. 2011
PET
Peterhead
0 - 3
Stenhousemuir
STE
45%
24%
32%
49 46 3 +1
30 Apr. 2011
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 3
Brechin City
BRE
35%
26%
39%
50 57 7 -1

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2011
ARB
Arbroath
6 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
57%
23%
20%
54 53 1 0
30 Jul. 2011
LIV
Livingston
6 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
67%
19%
14%
54 67 13 0
23 Jul. 2011
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 2
Dundee
DUN
31%
25%
44%
54 68 14 0
08 Jul. 2011
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
40%
25%
35%
54 61 7 0
07 May. 2011
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 5
Elgin City
ELG
68%
19%
13%
55 46 9 -1