FC St Pauli vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SGD
1 - 0
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
STP
3 - 0
ROS
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SGF
2 - 1
STP
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
FCU
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FSV
3 - 3
STP
23%
26%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 0
FSV
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
KSC
2 - 0
PAD
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 1
COT
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 2
PAD
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 2
MUN
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |