FC St Pauli vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
RTV
2 - 2
STP
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ELV
4 - 2
STP
14%
19%
67%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
STP
1 - 0
SON
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 0
STP
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
STP
0 - 0
AGF
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HEI
2 - 0
EBT
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
WEH
1 - 0
HEI
33%
24%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HEI
6 - 2
STG
35%
23%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
HEI
3 - 2
UNT
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
HEI
0 - 2
ALT
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |