FC St Pauli vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 1
STP
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
STP
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
STP
1 - 0
WEI
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
WAT
3 - 2
STP
48%
23%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ING
0 - 3
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SGF
0 - 2
ERZ
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AUG
1 - 0
SGF
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 1
SGF
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
SGF
1 - 1
HUR
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
ELT
1 - 3
SGF
6%
15%
79%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |