FC St Pauli vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8%
2.2%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
STP
0 - 3
ISC
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 2
STP
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
STP
1 - 2
USO
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
SSV
1 - 5
STP
12%
18%
70%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
STP
2 - 1
ERK
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
LEV
6 - 1
PRE
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
USO
1 - 1
LEV
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
LEV
2 - 1
SSV
67%
22%
11%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
ERK
4 - 0
LEV
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
LEV
0 - 0
KÖL
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | +1 |