St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 2
STP
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MEP
1 - 2
STP
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GOS
0 - 1
STP
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
STP
1 - 2
WOL
20%
23%
58%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
4 - 1
STP
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 1
GOS
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 1
HOL
25%
26%
48%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
4 - 0
VFR
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CLO
0 - 1
HOL
23%
23%
53%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 1
BSV
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |