St Patrick's vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BOH
0 - 1
STP
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
STP
2 - 1
DRO
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SHR
1 - 1
STP
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
STP
1 - 2
BOH
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SHR
0 - 0
STP
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
WAT
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
LON
2 - 0
DER
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SLR
0 - 0
DER
35%
25%
41%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
CAO
1 - 1
DER
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SHR
2 - 0
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |