St. Mirren vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 3
STM
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
STM
0 - 0
DUN
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
KIL
3 - 3
STM
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
STM
1 - 2
STJ
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
STM
1 - 2
HAM
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 4
DUN
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 0
RAI
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ALL
1 - 0
DUN
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DUN
4 - 3
ARB
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |