St. Mirren vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 3
STM
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
STM
2 - 2
GLA
18%
23%
58%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DUM
2 - 1
STM
45%
25%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STM
3 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 2
STM
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
HAM
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 0
STR
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
STR
1 - 1
AYR
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
PET
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
PET
1 - 4
AYR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |