St. Johnstone vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
KIL
1 - 2
STJ
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 1
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
STM
0 - 1
STJ
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STJ
2 - 0
HIB
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STJ
0 - 1
ROS
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
0 - 2
ABE
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 1
DUN
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ROS
1 - 1
ABE
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 1
KIL
58%
25%
17%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |