Jahn Regensburg vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SSV
2 - 0
WAC
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
BAB
0 - 1
SSV
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
SSV
3 - 0
UNT
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
WER
0 - 1
SSV
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SSV
2 - 2
HEI
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ARB
0 - 2
BVB
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 1
PAD
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ARB
2 - 1
ROT
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FCU
3 - 0
ARB
34%
27%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 1
F95
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |