Real Calepina vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 2
CAL
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
DES
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
CAL
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 4
SER
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAL
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 2
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
VCB
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VCB
3 - 1
TRI
60%
20%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
USP
1 - 2
VCB
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VCB
1 - 1
NOV
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |