SpVgg Frechen vs FV Endenich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+202%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
3º
22
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 62 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 60 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 56 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 44 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 43 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 38 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
74.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 26 |
14º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 11 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 3
BER
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 0
SPF
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 1
VFL
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 0
SPF
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 2
KFC
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FV Endenich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FVE
1 - 1
KON
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
FVE
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FVE
1 - 0
SVE
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +4 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FVE
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 2
H05
9%
14%
78%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |