Sporting Lucense vs Ferreira C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1131%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 3
SLU
32%
24%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SLU
2 - 1
SCO
42%
24%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SLU
1 - 1
GUN
33%
22%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SLA
0 - 1
SLU
47%
24%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SLU
2 - 3
COR
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ferreira C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
GUN
35%
23%
43%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SLA
2 - 0
FER
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FER
5 - 0
COR
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 1
FER
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
MON
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |