Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 3
SCP
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
76%
17%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
SCP
2 - 1
VIT
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 3
SCP
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
SCP
2 - 0
UDL
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
FCP
4 - 0
VIL
96%
3%
1%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
RIO
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |