Taça de Portugal . Final
Global 3-2
Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
SCP
1 - 0
POR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 2
SCP
8%
15%
77%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 0
BOA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 2
SCP
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 0
SPB
83%
12%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
23%
26%
51%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
POR
0 - 0
FCP
11%
17%
72%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |