Q. Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round Final
Global 0-5
Charleroi vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
MOU
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
BEI
1 - 4
CHA
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
5 - 1
BEI
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 1
EXC
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
KRS
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ZOR
0 - 0
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
MEZ
0 - 6
ZOR
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
PER
3 - 1
ZOR
41%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
FHV
2 - 1
ZOR
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
ZOR
1 - 1
VOR
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |