Sportfreunde Saarbrücken vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportfreunde Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ASL
0 - 4
SSF
31%
22%
47%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
SSF
4 - 1
PIR
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
WWO
1 - 0
SSF
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
SSF
6 - 1
NIE
85%
10%
6%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
ZWE
0 - 2
SSF
42%
22%
36%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
M05
0 - 2
BNE
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
ASL
1 - 3
M05
34%
24%
43%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
NIE
2 - 5
M05
40%
23%
38%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
M05
2 - 0
TUL
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
M05
1 - 1
LSC
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |