Sportfreunde Lotte vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EIN
1 - 1
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
PRE
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
WUP
1 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
KAI
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
VER
0 - 0
SPO
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ABI
0 - 4
MAI
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
ABI
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ABI
1 - 0
FOR
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EIN
2 - 0
ABI
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
ABI
0 - 0
VER
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |