Copa Espírito Santo Group Stages Round 4

SC Capixaba vs Nova Venecia analysis

SC Capixaba Nova Venecia
10 ELO 56
-0.4% Tilt -1.6%
14578º General ELO ranking 4383º
499º Country ELO ranking 134º
ELO win probability
7.8%
SC Capixaba
14.6%
Draw
77.5%
Nova Venecia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
SC Capixaba
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
77.5%
Win probability
Nova Venecia
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Capixaba
+8%
-23%
Nova Venecia

ELO progression

SC Capixaba
Nova Venecia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Capixaba
SC Capixaba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
CAP
Capixaba
2 - 1
SC Capixaba
SCS
72%
16%
11%
10 18 8 0
17 May. 2023
SCS
SC Capixaba
1 - 1
Linhares
LIN
10%
14%
76%
9 27 18 +1
06 May. 2023
PIN
Pinheiros
1 - 0
SC Capixaba
SCS
83%
12%
5%
9 70 61 0

Matches

Nova Venecia
Nova Venecia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
NVE
Nova Venecia
4 - 1
São Mateus
SAO
75%
15%
10%
56 38 18 0
13 May. 2023
NVE
Nova Venecia
5 - 1
Capixaba
CAP
82%
12%
6%
56 18 38 0
11 May. 2023
LIN
Linhares
1 - 1
Nova Venecia
NVE
11%
17%
73%
56 26 30 0
22 Apr. 2023
REA
Real Noroeste
3 - 1
Nova Venecia
NVE
32%
23%
45%
58 55 3 -2
15 Apr. 2023
NVE
Nova Venecia
0 - 0
Real Noroeste
REA
53%
22%
25%
58 54 4 0