Split vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
16º
15º
21
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
95% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
95% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
PRB
1 - 2
SPL
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPL
2 - 1
JUN
13%
22%
65%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NER
2 - 0
SPL
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SPL
1 - 1
NKG
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SMR
3 - 2
SPL
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 0
OMI
30%
23%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HNK
6 - 0
MAK
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
3 - 3
NKH
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 0
MAK
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZAG
3 - 0
MAK
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |