Split vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SPL
1 - 2
RIJ
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DZG
1 - 0
SPL
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SPL
1 - 0
ZAG
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
SPL
29%
30%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SPL
0 - 0
SLI
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
IST
0 - 1
DZG
9%
21%
70%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ZAG
1 - 1
IST
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
IST
1 - 2
INT
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
OSI
0 - 0
IST
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
IST
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |