Spennymoor Town vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 2
GAT
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
SPE
23%
23%
55%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
SPE
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SPE
0 - 2
ALF
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
KID
4 - 0
SPE
32%
24%
43%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 2
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 1
KET
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 0
LEA
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
CHO
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |