SPAL vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
COM
77%
17%
7%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
PER
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 1
SPA
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
CES
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPA
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
ABN
3 - 4
ANC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
LIV
0 - 1
ABN
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ABN
1 - 2
RIM
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FRO
2 - 0
ABN
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ABN
1 - 1
BRE
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |