SPAL vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
TOR
2 - 1
SPA
53%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SAM
0 - 1
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
SPA
4 - 2
NAP
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
SPA
2 - 2
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
PAL
0 - 1
SPA
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
CAT
0 - 0
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 1
FCC
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ROM
2 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
ALT
2 - 3
ROM
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |