Southport vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEA
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KID
6 - 0
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
KET
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 2
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
DAR
1 - 0
SOU
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FYL
2 - 1
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FYL
3 - 1
FAR
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 0
FYL
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 1
FYL
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FYL
3 - 0
ALF
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |