Southend United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 1
STO
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
YEO
1 - 2
SOU
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
SOU
3 - 0
LEY
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CRE
3 - 4
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 0
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 3
HUR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 2
SWI
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 3
SWI
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 2
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
STO
1 - 1
SWI
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |