Southampton vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 1
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 1
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 3
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
TOT
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
WHU
2 - 3
SOU
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 4
MAC
2%
11%
87%
|
95 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAC
9%
16%
75%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
MAC
6 - 3
LEI
74%
16%
10%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |