Southampton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 3
SOU
37%
25%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 2
BHA
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 2
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 2
SOU
26%
25%
48%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 2
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
ARS
18%
23%
58%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEI
20%
24%
57%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TOT
4 - 0
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
WBA
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |