South China AA vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
9º
4º
27
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 2
EAD
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HVA
2 - 5
SCA
37%
23%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SCA
3 - 0
YOK
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
KWA
1 - 7
SCA
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 2
CWD
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
YOK
1 - 3
CAA
7%
13%
81%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 1
CAA
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HVA
0 - 6
CAA
72%
15%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 2
CWD
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAA
0 - 4
KWL
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |