South Adelaide Panthers vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
12º
10º
16
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 3
SAP
37%
22%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
SAP
3 - 1
ADE
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +5 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
6 - 2
SAP
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEM
2 - 1
SAP
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 3
ADE
16%
20%
65%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SLF
1 - 0
WAD
35%
21%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CRO
5 - 2
SLF
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SLF
1 - 2
CAM
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SLF
1 - 0
WHI
30%
21%
49%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SLF
0 - 1
NEM
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |