Sorrento vs Pomezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
14º
2º
35
1º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ASI
0 - 1
SOR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SOR
2 - 1
SSD
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
APR
0 - 2
SOR
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAL
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SOR
1 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pomezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
POM
2 - 1
ARZ
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POM
1 - 2
RMS
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 0
POM
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
POM
2 - 2
LRO
50%
22%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CSO
2 - 5
POM
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |