Brasiliense . Quarter-finals
Global 1-7
Sobradinho vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
4 - 0
SOB
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SOB
1 - 4
LUZ
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 3
SOB
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
SOB
1 - 3
CEI
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOB
2 - 2
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 0
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LUZ
1 - 5
GAM
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 2
CAP
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 5
GAM
6%
13%
81%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |