Albanian Cup Round 5

KF Skënderbeu vs Besa Kavajë analysis

KF Skënderbeu Besa Kavajë
73 ELO 63
4.8% Tilt -5.6%
3002º General ELO ranking 3491º
11º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
62.8%
KF Skënderbeu
20.6%
Draw
16.6%
Besa Kavajë

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
KF Skënderbeu
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.6%
Win probability
Besa Kavajë
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
KF Skënderbeu
+7%
+22%
Besa Kavajë

ELO progression

KF Skënderbeu
Besa Kavajë
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

KF Skënderbeu
KF Skënderbeu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2011
KFS
KF Skënderbeu
3 - 2
KF Bylis
BYL
61%
22%
17%
72 65 7 0
30 Nov. 2011
KFS
KF Skënderbeu
2 - 0
KF Luftëtari
LUF
72%
18%
11%
72 56 16 0
26 Nov. 2011
VLZ
Vllaznia
0 - 2
KF Skënderbeu
KFS
54%
25%
21%
71 74 3 +1
23 Nov. 2011
LUF
KF Luftëtari
4 - 1
KF Skënderbeu
KFS
19%
25%
56%
72 55 17 -1
19 Nov. 2011
KFS
KF Skënderbeu
2 - 1
Flamurtari
FLA
51%
26%
24%
72 72 0 0

Matches

Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2011
BUR
Burreli
0 - 3
Besa Kavajë
BES
18%
24%
59%
64 47 17 0
30 Nov. 2011
BES
Besa Kavajë
1 - 3
Kastrioti Krujë
KRU
42%
27%
32%
64 66 2 0
26 Nov. 2011
BES
Besa Kavajë
1 - 0
Butrinti Sarandë
BUT
74%
18%
8%
64 44 20 0
23 Nov. 2011
KRU
Kastrioti Krujë
2 - 0
Besa Kavajë
BES
46%
24%
30%
65 66 1 -1
19 Nov. 2011
LUS
Lushnja
1 - 0
Besa Kavajë
BES
25%
26%
50%
66 57 9 -1