Sitio de Aranjuez vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sitio de Aranjuez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 0
SAR
43%
23%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
4 - 0
YEB
52%
24%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MOB
2 - 1
SAR
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
RMC
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MOB
2 - 2
SAR
31%
24%
44%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 1
CDE
13%
19%
68%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 0
CDF
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 1
PAR
13%
18%
70%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDF
58%
23%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 1
VLO
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |