Dynamo Dresden vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 0
SGD
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
3 - 0
HOL
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
3 - 0
WUP
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
SGD
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
0 - 1
HSV
13%
23%
65%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 2
STP
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 2
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 2
EBT
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
KFC
1 - 2
CHE
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 1
VFR
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |