Sestri Levante vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SES
1 - 0
RAB
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
VAO
0 - 1
SES
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SES
2 - 0
ASD
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VOG
1 - 2
SES
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SES
0 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
NOV
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
SET
27%
26%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RAB
3 - 0
NOV
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VAO
1 - 0
NOV
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASD
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |