Sestri Levante vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
SES
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BOR
0 - 2
SES
33%
27%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SES
0 - 1
ASD
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ACS
1 - 1
SES
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SES
1 - 1
GOZ
22%
27%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DER
0 - 1
ASD
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PDH
0 - 0
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |