Servette vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
5º
2º
44
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
GCZ
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STA
1 - 4
SER
15%
18%
67%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 0
SER
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
WIN
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 2
ARS
16%
22%
63%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 2
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 4
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 1
ZUR
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 4
ZUR
8%
15%
76%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | +1 |