Sergipe vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
40.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
DES
2 - 0
SER
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
SER
2 - 4
SCI
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
SER
0 - 5
SAO
25%
30%
46%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
SER
1 - 1
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
SER
0 - 1
AME
33%
32%
36%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1972 |
SCI
1 - 1
VAS
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1972 |
VAS
3 - 1
CRZ
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1972 |
NAU
1 - 2
VAS
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
CRB
0 - 0
VAS
34%
31%
36%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |