Sergipe vs Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
AVA
0 - 2
SER
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CON
0 - 2
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
JUV
2 - 0
SER
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
LON
2 - 2
SER
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
SER
0 - 0
NOV
51%
22%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1979 |
CEC
3 - 2
ANA
78%
16%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CEC
1 - 2
LON
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
NOV
0 - 0
CEC
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
AVA
0 - 1
CEC
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
JUV
0 - 0
CEC
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |