CAF Qualifying Grupo L. Jor. 6

Senegal vs Rwanda analysis

Senegal Rwanda
85 ELO 58
-7.2% Tilt -13%
148º General ELO ranking 2142º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
80.3%
Senegal
14%
Draw
5.6%
Rwanda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
Senegal
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.6%
Win probability
Rwanda
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Senegal
+10%
+11%
Rwanda

ELO progression

Senegal
Rwanda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Senegal
Senegal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2023
BRA
Brazil
2 - 4
Senegal
SEN
87%
10%
3%
84 97 13 0
17 Jun. 2023
BEN
Benin
1 - 1
Senegal
SEN
18%
28%
55%
85 64 21 -1
28 Mar. 2023
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 1
Senegal
SEN
14%
25%
62%
84 57 27 +1
24 Mar. 2023
SEN
Senegal
5 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
76%
17%
8%
84 57 27 0
04 Feb. 2023
DZA
Algeria
0 - 0
Senegal
SEN
54%
23%
23%
84 85 1 0

Matches

Rwanda
Rwanda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2023
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 2
Mozambique
MOZ
41%
27%
33%
58 56 2 0
29 Mar. 2023
RWA
Rwanda
1 - 1
Benin
BEN
28%
26%
46%
58 64 6 0
22 Mar. 2023
BEN
Benin
1 - 1
Rwanda
RWA
56%
25%
20%
58 64 6 0
19 Mar. 2023
ETH
Ethiopia
1 - 0
Rwanda
RWA
53%
25%
23%
59 60 1 -1
19 Nov. 2022
SDN
Sudan
0 - 1
Rwanda
RWA
49%
25%
26%
58 58 0 +1
X