Senegal vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
SEN
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
SEN
68%
21%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CMR
0 - 0
SEN
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 0
CMR
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
SEN
0 - 2
TUN
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
ALG
63%
24%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
BOT
67%
22%
11%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
MAR
34%
29%
37%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
NIR
1 - 1
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |