WC Qual. Africa Tercera Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Senegal vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
EGY
1 - 0
SEN
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SEN
0 - 0
EGY
37%
26%
38%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BFA
1 - 3
SEN
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SEN
3 - 1
EQG
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
SEN
2 - 0
CPV
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
EGY
1 - 0
SEN
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SEN
0 - 0
EGY
37%
26%
38%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
CMR
0 - 0
EGY
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
EGY
2 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CIV
0 - 0
EGY
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |