Ukraine vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
BIH
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 2
UKR
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CZE
1 - 1
UKR
45%
25%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
FRA
12%
23%
65%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
KAZ
2 - 2
UKR
14%
23%
63%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BGR
2 - 1
NIR
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LTU
3 - 1
BGR
13%
22%
65%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
BGR
4 - 1
GEO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BGR
1 - 0
LTU
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
BGR
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |