Switzerland vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BGR
1 - 3
CHE
16%
23%
61%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
UKR
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BEL
2 - 1
CHE
75%
16%
10%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
FIN
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FIN
2 - 2
BIH
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
WLS
3 - 1
FIN
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 2
FIN
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 2
FIN
88%
10%
3%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | +1 |