San Marino vs Slovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
72.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
SMR
1 - 2
WAL
8%
17%
74%
|
41 | 87 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SVK
7 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 87 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
CYP
3 - 0
SMR
84%
10%
5%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SMR
0 - 3
CZE
8%
19%
73%
|
42 | 94 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SMR
0 - 1
CYP
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Slovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CZE
3 - 1
SVK
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 0
SVK
68%
21%
11%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SVK
7 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
87 | 41 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
SVK
2 - 5
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SVK
2 - 2
IRL
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |