Romania vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 7
ROU
15%
20%
65%
|
93 | 38 | 55 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ROU
0 - 1
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BIH
0 - 3
ROU
11%
20%
69%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
ROU
0 - 1
GRC
66%
21%
13%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
POL
1 - 2
ROU
36%
26%
38%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 0
HRV
44%
26%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
HRV
0 - 0
EST
89%
9%
3%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
HRV
1 - 1
WLS
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
ECU
1 - 0
HRV
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 2
HRV
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |